Prophet strategy in betting: What it is

Table of contents

The Prophet strategy in sports betting was once very popular, with bettors actively using it to make successful profits. Over time, this strategy became less popular because it proved more challenging to apply over a long period. This is the main paradox: at first glance, it seems quite simple to master.

However, experienced bettors continue to earn money at bookmakers using this strategy. With the right approach, experience, and accurate forecasting, you can master any strategy, including the Prophet system.

The basic structure of the Prophet betting system revolves around total goals. All you need to do is analyze the average number of goals in the last 10 matches.

The essence of the Prophet strategy and examples of its use

The essence of the strategy lies in a simple mathematical analysis of the teams, which shows the potential number of goals. A simple calculation is performed for each team in the match. Let’s look at an example calculation for the home and visiting teams:

For the home team:

  • Review the hosts’ last 10 home matches and count the goals they scored.
  • Then count the goals conceded by the visitors in their last 10 away matches.
  • Add the totals and divide by two.

For the visitors:

  • Take the last 10 away matches of the visiting team and count the goals they scored.
  • Then count the goals conceded by the home team in their last 10 home matches.
  • Add the totals and divide by two.

As you can see, it’s quite straightforward.

Applicable sports for the Prophet system

The Prophet betting system was created for football because it is most effective there. Calculating the average number of goals scored and conceded in hockey is not difficult, but the effectiveness of this strategy in hockey has not been thoroughly studied.

If you want to test this system yourself, you can go to the football section on the bookmaker’s website and place your first bet.

Let’s further analyze specific examples of the strategy in football and hockey.

Calculating the strategy for football matches

As an example of the Prophet system in football, let’s take the 30th round EPL match between “Newcastle United” and “West Ham United,” which ended 4-3. Let’s look at the statistics, find the average indicators, and see the results.

For the last 10 home matches of “Newcastle,” they scored: (3+2+4+2+1+3+1+1+4+1)/10 = 22 (about 2.2 goals per match). In the last 10 away matches, “West Ham” conceded: (1+1+2+3+2+1+0+5+5+1)/10 = 21 (about 2.1 goals per match). (2.2+2.1)/2 = 2.15 – the expected number of goals from the home team. Next, we calculate the goals of the visiting team.

In the last 10 away matches, “West Ham” scored: (0+3+0+0+2+0+2+1+0+2)/10 = 10 (about 1 goal per game). In the last 10 home matches, “Newcastle” conceded: (0+2+4+3+3+0+2+0+1+0)/10 = 15 (about 1.5 goals per game). (1+1.5)/2 = 1.25 – the expected number of goals from the visitors.

As you can see, the strategy worked.

How to bet on hockey matches

The betting strategy can also be applied in hockey by conducting an analysis similar to the one shown above. Moreover, this strategy will also suggest the expected score, possible winner, most likely handicap for one of the teams, and the outcome of both teams scoring. You can learn about these and many other terms in the guides prepared by the bookmaker Fonbet.

Remember that factors such as the championship, tournament significance, player injuries, motivation, and much more will always affect the result.

Pros and cons of this sports betting strategy

Systems, tips, and recommendations do not guarantee success. They only minimize risks.

Pros:

  • Simple analysis
  • Gaining experience
  • Learning about the teams

Cons:

  • Reliance on statistics
  • Significant time investment
  • Often low odds

Sports betting can be an exciting activity. Before you start betting, it’s important to remember that you are fully responsible for the outcome.