Strategy Next: Earning from the success of away teams

Tipsters fall into two categories: some focus on analyzing each match individually and conducting proper bankroll management, while others look for patterns in less obvious places, using standard flat betting.

The second approach can work on short-term distances, but in the long run, such schemes have never yielded positive results—otherwise, bookmakers would have long gone bankrupt.

Next, we will consider the Next strategy in betting on football and other sports: its essence, advantages, disadvantages, and effectiveness.

The next strategy emerged in the early 2010s when players identified a simple pattern: when a team loses at home by a minimal score, it does not lose in the next away match.

Initially, the scheme was tested on just 35 matches and showed positive results. However, such a small sample size is hardly significant. The experiment was later repeated on 674 bets, with 57% of them being successful.

Additionally, bettors identified leagues with the best and worst statistics for this strategy. The German Bundesliga and the English Premier League performed well, as the home field advantage does not play a significant role in these leagues. Conversely, the Spanish La Liga and France’s Ligue 1 did not fit the scheme, as teams performed much better at home.

To bet using the Next strategy, you need to follow these steps:

1. Study the statistics of European national championships. Profits can be made in tournaments where the home field advantage is not significant.
2. Wait for a match to end with a 1:0 score in favor of the away team.
3. If the home team of this match plays their next game away, bet on them not losing.
4. Consider odds of 1.3 and higher – otherwise, you will not be able to make a profit in the long run.

Let’s consider a practical example: in a match between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, the away team won 1:0. The next game for Werder was an away match against RB Leipzig, which was an excellent opportunity to use the Next strategy.

Next, you should bet on X2 in the Leipzig vs. Werder match: the odds for such an outcome will be around 1.65 or higher. If the away team does not lose, you win.

Note that this strategy is mainly used in football, basketball, and hockey leagues, which operate differently: Teams play an entire series of home and away games, breaking the trend. Additionally, the playoff factor affects clubs’ motivation—coaches conserve players’ energy at the end of the season; otherwise, the team will play in a weakened state.

The main issue with this strategy is the trend’s variability and unpredictability. Following the recommendations blindly, you risk betting on clear underdogs against formidable favorites – yes, the odds compensate for the risk, but the chances of winning are minimal.

Furthermore, odds play a crucial role in this strategy. We mentioned earlier that the scheme showed 57% effectiveness over a large sample – a good result, but not when dealing with odds between 1.3 and 1.6: it’s nearly impossible to achieve a significant profit over a long distance.

It’s also important to consider the trend that European championship games are less influenced by the away factor. This is evidenced by the abolition of the away goal rule in the Champions League and other European competitions. Bookmakers consider this and incorporate it into their odds.

If you decide to use the Next strategy in sports betting, follow these tips:

• Conduct additional analysis – blindly betting on this strategy risks betting against clear favorites, leading to unnecessary losses.
• Choose the right leagues—find leagues where the away factor is present but not dominant. This allows betting at higher odds.
• Use flat betting. Any other bankroll management system may lead to quick bankruptcy due to the odds’ instability.

Remember, Next is just a theory based on a simple trend. If applied correctly, considering event selection, you can profit from it.